Insanity

It's become a common cliché, an oft-cited but unverifiable quote, but it remains relevant in baseball: "The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results."

Why bring this up now? Because you can expect to see the sentiment Tim Kurkjian expresses here echoed a lot during the offseason (emphasis added):

But the Red Sox, one way or another, will contend next season because they have lots of money, lots of young pitching, lots of resources and a much healthier Josh Beckett.

What makes anyone think that Josh Beckett is a good bet to stay healthy over 162 games? I get tired of bringing it up (nb: not really), but Josh Beckett has had exactly one full, healthy, productive year in his entire career. Sure, when he's healthy he's generally effective and sometimes brilliant, but the fact is that he is always battling some ailment or another.

At some point, you have to stop counting on Beckett to be healthy and instead recognize that to continue to make a healthy Josh Beckett the keystone in your quest for a championship is essentially insane.